02-28-2025, 10:53 PM
I've never been a fan of Hornady brass because I've always found it to have worst in class weight variation, and weight variation equals internal case volume variation which leads to velocity variation. I now have some hard stats on a very meaningful sample to share.
A squad buddy built an ARC late last year and has been shooting Hornady factory ammo. He has been incredibly kind and given me his 1x practice brass and I get to pick up his 1x match brass. Nothing beats free brass! With 450 cases on hand (with more coming monthly) and my lot of Starline at 4x (I'll run it to 5-6x), I started to get to work on it.
I decapped and weighed about 40 pieces, tossed a few outliers out of the weight pool and came up with an average of 116.9 grains. For ease, I decided upon 116.0 to 118.0 as the weight range for my "match brass". That will be better than using Starline without sorting, and Hornady's primer pockets do seem to last a little longer then the 5-6x I get out of Starline. I segregated the >118.0 and <116.0. Seeing a lot of the lighter brass fall into 115.0 - 115.9, I further segregated that. This was the result:
>118.0 6.4%
116.0 - 118.0 73.1%
115.0 - 115.9 11.5%
<115.0 9.0%
I found it interesting that more light brass deviates from the mean than heavy, but this is probably explained by whatever process is used to make the ferrules the brass is drawn out of. I'll note that 120.0 was the max I found.
What was most interesting was the amount of outliers on the low end. 6 pieces (1.3%) were in the 111.0 - 111.9 range. Yes one was 111.0 - that's over 5% lighter than the mean. Many more were in the 112s and 113s.
So when shooters wonder where their flyers come from, this is certainly an explanation for some. It's also an example of why more attention should be paid to SD rather then ES when analyzing load velocity variation. If you have the misfortune of having one of the outliers in your sample, its going to blow out the ES a lot more than the SD. Its also going to blow out the SD a lot more for a small sample size than a large one. You may end up ruling out a good load out of what would literally be due to "bad luck".
It will be a while, but once I develop a load for the match lot, I'll drop it in the six 111.0-111.9 cases and compare the results of those with the match lot. Who knows, maybe I'll (we'll) be pleasantly surprised by the delta.
Assuming that the free brass keeps coming, I'll also update the pool as it gets larger.
A squad buddy built an ARC late last year and has been shooting Hornady factory ammo. He has been incredibly kind and given me his 1x practice brass and I get to pick up his 1x match brass. Nothing beats free brass! With 450 cases on hand (with more coming monthly) and my lot of Starline at 4x (I'll run it to 5-6x), I started to get to work on it.
I decapped and weighed about 40 pieces, tossed a few outliers out of the weight pool and came up with an average of 116.9 grains. For ease, I decided upon 116.0 to 118.0 as the weight range for my "match brass". That will be better than using Starline without sorting, and Hornady's primer pockets do seem to last a little longer then the 5-6x I get out of Starline. I segregated the >118.0 and <116.0. Seeing a lot of the lighter brass fall into 115.0 - 115.9, I further segregated that. This was the result:
>118.0 6.4%
116.0 - 118.0 73.1%
115.0 - 115.9 11.5%
<115.0 9.0%
I found it interesting that more light brass deviates from the mean than heavy, but this is probably explained by whatever process is used to make the ferrules the brass is drawn out of. I'll note that 120.0 was the max I found.
What was most interesting was the amount of outliers on the low end. 6 pieces (1.3%) were in the 111.0 - 111.9 range. Yes one was 111.0 - that's over 5% lighter than the mean. Many more were in the 112s and 113s.
So when shooters wonder where their flyers come from, this is certainly an explanation for some. It's also an example of why more attention should be paid to SD rather then ES when analyzing load velocity variation. If you have the misfortune of having one of the outliers in your sample, its going to blow out the ES a lot more than the SD. Its also going to blow out the SD a lot more for a small sample size than a large one. You may end up ruling out a good load out of what would literally be due to "bad luck".
It will be a while, but once I develop a load for the match lot, I'll drop it in the six 111.0-111.9 cases and compare the results of those with the match lot. Who knows, maybe I'll (we'll) be pleasantly surprised by the delta.
Assuming that the free brass keeps coming, I'll also update the pool as it gets larger.
#FJB